{
  "schemaVersion": "climate-assessment/v1",
  "source": "Forster et al. (2026), Indicators of Global Climate Change 2025",
  "url": "https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/18/3889/2026/",
  "doi": "10.5194/essd-18-3889-2026",
  "published": "2026-06-11",
  "reviewed": "2026-09-08",
  "license": "CC BY 4.0",
  "baseline": "1850-1900",
  "unit": "degrees Celsius",
  "extraction": "Reviewed transcription of section 7 and section 8.1, Tables 5 and 6. These are published assessment summaries, not independently re-estimated attribution results. The 2025 observed bounds are the published 1.39 +/- 0.13.",
  "records": [
    {
      "id": "observed-decade",
      "period": "2016-2025",
      "quantity": "Observed warming",
      "estimate": 1.26,
      "lower": 1.13,
      "upper": 1.36,
      "likelihood": "very likely",
      "locator": "Section 7, Table 5",
      "status": "observational estimate"
    },
    {
      "id": "human-decade",
      "period": "2016-2025",
      "quantity": "Human-induced warming",
      "estimate": 1.24,
      "lower": 1,
      "upper": 1.5,
      "likelihood": "likely",
      "locator": "Section 8.1, Table 6",
      "status": "externally assessed attribution"
    },
    {
      "id": "observed-year",
      "period": "2025",
      "quantity": "Observed warming",
      "estimate": 1.39,
      "lower": 1.26,
      "upper": 1.52,
      "likelihood": "very likely",
      "locator": "Section 7, Table 5",
      "status": "observational estimate"
    },
    {
      "id": "human-year",
      "period": "2025",
      "quantity": "Human-induced warming",
      "estimate": 1.37,
      "lower": 1.1,
      "upper": 1.7,
      "likelihood": "likely",
      "locator": "Section 8.1, Table 6",
      "status": "externally assessed attribution"
    }
  ]
}
