“Mapping the economic architecture of the Intelligence Age. A digital lab for connecting deep history, data science, and the future of value.”
The AI Divide: Why 'Frontier Firms' Are Achieving 3X Higher ROI
A new IDC study reveals a stark reality: while laggards struggle with 0.84x returns, 'Frontier Firms' are unlocking exponential value through agentic AI and strategic governance. The gap is widening—here is how to bridge it.
The study, commissioned by Microsoft, surveyed over 2,000 business leaders globally. It identifies a critical inflection point: organizations that move beyond pilot purgatory to integrate AI into their core operational fabric are seeing returns that dwarf their competitors. This isn't just about efficiency; it's about rewriting the rules of their industries.
German Economic River
Visualizing the structural resilience of Europe's industrial engine. While the service sector expands, the manufacturing core (blue) remains the dominant current—defying the deindustrialization trend of the West.
Research Work
Selected Essays & Research
The Great Divergence:
AI & Economic Fracture
A comprehensive synthesis of late 2025 research from NBER, IMF, and OECD. Why the "Acemoglu Ceiling" and "Coasean Singularity" are driving a global fracture.
Peeling the Onion
Decoding Europe's Energy Efficiency Gains. How much is real?
The Tyranny of Risks
Why standard economic models fail when facing low-probability events.
Trade & The Environment
Does free trade turn developing nations into pollution havens? Evidence from the World Input-Output Database.
The Industrialization of Science
How the 'lone wolf' model of research gave way to team science. A 36-year study of co-authorship patterns.
Build with Intelligence
A hands-on curriculum for the modern builder. Master the Microsoft AI stack.
Draft a strategic memo for AI adoption in Q4.
Beyond the Hype: The Economic Reality
The divide between AI leaders and laggards is no longer theoretical. It is measured in trillions.
Scroll to explore the data.
$22.3 Trillion projected global economic impact by 2030.
Return on Investment
Frontier firms realize nearly 3x higher ROI than their lagging peers.
Business Outcomes
Agentic Speed
Agentic AI projects realize value in just 13 months with a 2.3x ROI multiplier.
The Strategic Pivot
Solutions
Strategy
Organizations are shifting massively toward tailored, strategic AI applications over the next 24 months.
The Frontier Elite
Only 22% of organizations have reached 'Frontier' status—unlocking a share of the projected $22.3 trillion global economic impact by 2030.
The ROI Multiplier
The gap is widening. Frontier firms realize 2.84x ROI on their AI investments, while laggards barely break even at 0.84x.
Outperforming the Rest
It's not just about efficiency. Frontier firms are 4x more likely to drive top-line growth, brand differentiation, and superior customer experiences.
Agentic Acceleration
Agentic AI is reshaping the timeline. Projects now average a 13-month realization period with a 2.3x ROI multiplier.
The Strategic Pivot
The era of off-the-shelf AI is ending. 70% of organizations are shifting to customized, strategic AI solutions to drive unique competitive advantage.
The Workbench
Double-click icons to open project files. Drag windows to organize your workspace.
Economics Evolving
Economic thought is not static; it evolves with our tools. From the invisible hand of the industrial age to the neural networks of today, explore how technology has reshaped our understanding of value, labor, and allocation.
The Invisible Hand
1776 — 1936The Macro Machine
1936 — 1980The Digital Turn
1980 — 2015The Intelligence Age
2015 — PresentThe Invisible Hand
The birth of market mechanics. Order emerges from the chaos of individual action.
The Macro Machine
The economy as a hydraulic engine. Aggregate demand, loops, and state stabilization.
The Digital Turn
Information asymmetry collapses. Zero marginal costs and the rise of the network.
The Intelligence Age
Capital becomes active. Prediction machines redefine the boundaries of cognitive labor.
World OrderWorld OrderWorld Order
Trace the rise and fall of 14 global powers across 1,000 years of economic history.
Strategic Roadmap
This platform is a living digital garden. I am continuously building, refining, and expanding its capabilities. Explore the horizons below to see what is currently in execution, what is coming next, and the long-term vision.
NOW
Execution Phase (4 Weeks)
NEXT
Platform Expansion (3-6 Months)
BEYOND
Visionary Horizon (6-18 Months)
Bridging the gap between technical reality and business strategy.
The AI-Augmented Organization
How generative AI is reshaping organizational structures, decision-making velocity, and the very nature of knowledge work.
Data Storytelling for Leaders
A hands-on session on translating complex datasets into compelling narratives that drive executive action.