ESS-04 / The social contract
The distance between risk and fear
Is fear of crime explained by victimization or by social insecurity?
PlannedWave 1Research question, not a published result
The question
Put reported victimization beside feeling unsafe, then examine income, health, gender and place.
What the analysis will test
- Primary quantity
- Weighted fear and victimization profiles with adjusted descriptive gaps.
- Evidence
- ESS rounds 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11. Modules: core.
- Primary comparison
- Risk-fear comparison. The final form depends on validated data and uncertainty.
- Publication threshold
- Pinned source editions, reviewed questionnaire comparability, survey-design-aware intervals, disclosure checks and reproducible aggregate outputs.
What this evidence does not prove
Reported victimization and fear refer to different experiences and time windows; neither measures the full local crime rate.
The ESS interviews different probability samples in each round. It measures structural differences and change, not today's mood or the same individuals over time.
Sources and next release
This page reserves the permanent address for ESS-04. Estimates and downloads will appear here after the data, statistical, editorial and reproducibility checks pass.