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Earth with Africa and Antarctica visible, photographed by the Apollo 17 crew on December 7, 1972

A Schym research programme / IPCC AR6

Climate Atlas 01 / Time & place

Climate change,
across time and place.

Twenty-five evidence-led questions about a planet that is warming unevenly, changing locally, and being shaped by decisions made over decades.

+1.26°C2016-2025 global mean
above 1850-1900 / IGCC 2025

NASA/Apollo 17 crew. Earth with Africa and Antarctica visible, photographed by the Apollo 17 crew on December 7, 1972. Contextual photograph, not a climate measurement.

The Climate Pulse

Global surface temperature / 1850-1900 = 0
Global temperature, annual estimates and ten-year means1850-2025, degrees Celsius above 1850-1900. Latest annual estimate +1.391°C; complete ten-year mean +1.256°C. Arrow keys inspect years; Home and End reach the endpoints. One hot year does not establish a sustained warming level.0.0°C0.5°C1.0°C1.5°CIndustrial baseline1850-1900First IPCC assessment / 1990Today*18501900195020002025Global temperature, annual estimates and ten-year means1850-2025, degrees Celsius above 1850-1900. Latest annual estimate +1.391°C; complete ten-year mean +1.256°C. Arrow keys inspect years; Home and End reach the endpoints. One hot year does not establish a sustained warming level.0.0°C0.5°C1.0°C1.5°CIndustrialbaseline1850-19001990 / first IPCCToday*1850190019502025
Annual estimateTrailing 10-year mean

2025Annual +1.391°C10-year mean +1.256°C

*Latest complete year: 2025. One year is not the climate trend.

Source: IGCC 2025
Methods and exact values

The 1.0°C and 1.5°C guides are reference levels, not dated climate thresholds. Means require ten complete years; they are not attribution estimates or Paris Agreement compliance measures.

Source dataset / v2026.06.02 / First IPCC assessment: 1990

Exact temperature record
Observational estimates in degrees Celsius above 1850-1900; source precision retained.
YearAnnual anomaly
1850-0.046
18510.041
18520.099
18530.054
18540.049
18550.076
1856-0.021
1857-0.114
1858-0.049
18590.051
1860-0.059
1861-0.116
1862-0.184
1863-0.039
1864-0.074
18650.034
18660.014
1867-0.011
18680.059
18690.066
18700.026
1871-0.004
18720.034
18730.016
1874-0.056
1875-0.006
1876-0.041
18770.306
18780.364
18790.084
18800.039
18810.134
18820.061
18830.016
1884-0.116
1885-0.109
1886-0.101
1887-0.159
18880.006
18890.124
1890-0.154
1891-0.044
1892-0.131
1893-0.134
1894-0.136
1895-0.059
18960.084
18970.094
1898-0.106
18990.029
19000.121
19010.071
1902-0.069
1903-0.191
1904-0.251
1905-0.074
19060.026
1907-0.154
1908-0.191
1909-0.219
1910-0.186
1911-0.206
1912-0.129
1913-0.119
19140.076
19150.131
1916-0.089
1917-0.209
1918-0.081
1919-0.001
19200.036
19210.076
1922-0.009
19230.014
19240.014
19250.054
19260.186
19270.084
19280.089
1929-0.071
19300.151
19310.199
19320.151
1933-0.001
19340.146
19350.111
19360.151
19370.301
19380.291
19390.284
19400.391
19410.351
19420.299
19430.336
19440.464
19450.346
19460.191
19470.241
19480.179
19490.161
19500.086
19510.231
19520.319
19530.386
19540.181
19550.124
19560.066
19570.294
19580.309
19590.289
19600.226
19610.311
19620.266
19630.299
19640.039
19650.141
19660.194
19670.224
19680.169
19690.309
19700.264
19710.149
19720.261
19730.399
19740.169
19750.229
19760.141
19770.449
19780.336
19790.421
19800.536
19810.584
19820.381
19830.564
19840.394
19850.381
19860.444
19870.569
19880.619
19890.501
19900.689
19910.666
19920.466
19930.509
19940.569
19950.721
19960.604
19970.749
19980.894
19990.651
20000.654
20010.804
20020.879
20030.871
20040.799
20050.946
20060.901
20070.911
20080.786
20090.919
20100.989
20110.866
20120.899
20130.929
20140.994
20151.144
20161.261
20171.166
20181.094
20191.214
20201.249
20211.096
20221.139
20231.439
20241.511
20251.391
Download annual values
System guide / start with the mechanism

The Climate Machine

How Earth moves heat, water and carbon. Open one connected planet, follow its reservoirs and flows, then inspect four independent observations.

A foundation for the 25 questions, not another numbered study. Illustrated and reduced-motion reading paths included.

The published evidence

The stories behind the signal.

All 25 research questions

Time meets place

An atlas of a changing planet.

Twenty-five questions. Three scientific divisions.
One programme with an explicit evidence boundary.

Research controls

IPCC section
Research lens

25 of 25 questionsAll time horizons

01 / Time

When the evidence changes

All horizons
  1. 1850 onwardLong-run history12Historical records and baselines
  2. The presentObserved change23Recent evidence and current exposure
  3. The coming decadesDecision window13Responses now; conditional near-term futures
  4. Around 2050Mid-century7Scenario / projection
  5. 2100 and beyondLong-lived change5Scenario / projection and commitment

Research horizons, not evenly spaced dates. Dotted marks: scenario / projection. Response studies can inform future decisions using historical evidence.

02 / Place

Where change lands

All horizons / observation cursor 2025

Climate research geographic scopesCountry outlines orient the research programme, not measured local risks. Arctic and Antarctic insets show both poles. Europe and Germany links select explicit catalogue scopes. Global quantities and unspecified country samples are not assigned local coordinates.Arctic1 questionAntarctic1 questionEurope13 questionsGermany4 questions
Scope, not a risk map. Halos locate research domains; they do not measure intensity or imply local observations.

All placesCLIM-18 / 17 countries across Europe, Asia, the Americas, Africa and Oceania, plus World and fixed current EU-27; aggregates overlap with countries

Natural Earth / public domain1:110m outlines / orthographic views

The research constellation

Questions held in view.

Evidence comes with a place, a period and a boundary.

  1. CLIM-18

    Latest study / 2026-09-24

    The moving target for clean power

    How much of the change in fossil electricity generation is accounted for by total generation growth and changes in non-fossil output?

    Global2000-2025 / published electricity accounts
  2. CLIM-05

    The heat a thermometer misses.

    When national hot-day counts fall, do vulnerable groups necessarily experience less heatwave exposure?

    Germany1980-2024 matched exposure / newer weather kept separate
  3. CLIM-04

    The heat below the surface.

    How do changes in ocean heat storage compare with surface-temperature variation over aligned, sufficiently long observation windows?

    Ocean1971-2024 / dated ocean inventory; assessed periods to 2025
  4. CLIM-03

    Two poles, different losses.

    How do seasonal sea-ice changes differ between hemispheres when months, reference periods and measurement definitions are held consistent?

    Polar1979-2025 / same-month histories
  5. CLIM-02

    Less emitted. Still accumulating.

    What accounts for the difference between annual anthropogenic CO2 emissions and the annual increase in atmospheric carbon?

    Global1980-2024 / carbon account
  6. CLIM-01

    What does a cooler year say about warming?

    How does an annual temperature change compare with changes between complete decades in the same observational record?

    Global1850-2025 / observed record
  7. CLIM-06

    How does heat change the capacity to work outdoors?

    How do modeled heat-related labor-capacity losses differ across sectors and countries with different adaptation-readiness profiles?

    Across countriesTarget 2000-2024 / work and heat
  8. CLIM-07

    Where do European weather losses and insurance gaps coincide?

    How do reported economic losses and insured shares differ across European countries, and what remains hidden by national readiness scores?

    Germany / EuropeTarget 1980-2024 / reported losses
  9. CLIM-08

    How do historical emissions compare with present vulnerability?

    Do countries' positions change when cumulative fossil CO2, current per-capita emissions and present vulnerability are considered separately?

    Across countriesTarget 1850-2024 / present vulnerability
  10. CLIM-09

    Where does water stress coincide with food vulnerability?

    Which countries combine high baseline water stress with vulnerable food systems, and how stable is that comparison across indicator choices?

    Across countriesBaseline climatology / recent food vulnerability
  11. CLIM-10

    Do stronger readiness scores coincide with health adaptation planning?

    How do national adaptation-readiness profiles compare with reported health adaptation planning among countries covered by comparable survey rounds?

    Across countriesTarget 2015-2024 / readiness and planning
  12. CLIM-11

    What does another half-degree mean for European summer heat?

    How do regional summer-temperature and heat-extreme projections differ between global warming levels of 1.5, 2 and 3 degC?

    Germany / Europe1.5, 2 and 3 degrees / no assigned date
  13. CLIM-12

    Where could changing water stress challenge electricity systems?

    Which countries combine projected changes in water stress with electricity mixes that warrant closer examination of water dependence?

    Across countriesBaseline / 2030 and 2050 scenarios
  14. CLIM-13

    Why does coastal planning need more than a 2100 endpoint?

    How do observed global sea-level change and assessed longer-term commitment alter the questions asked of coastal infrastructure vulnerability?

    CoastalObserved sea level / 2100 and beyond
  15. CLIM-14

    Where could summer heat and drying intensify together?

    Do Central European regional projections show concurrent shifts in summer heat and moisture conditions across the same models and scenarios?

    Germany / Europe2041-2060 / 2081-2100 scenarios
  16. CLIM-15

    How much does a remaining carbon budget depend on its assumptions?

    How do published remaining-budget estimates vary with temperature limit, likelihood and assumptions about non-CO2 warming?

    GlobalStart-2026 budgets / conditional future
  17. CLIM-16

    What pace of emissions reduction do assessed pathways imply?

    How do recent global emissions changes compare with the reduction ranges in AR6 Table SPM.1 on a compatible accounting basis?

    Global2019 reference / 2030-2050 pathways
  18. CLIM-17

    How does time above a warming level differ across scenarios?

    What do compact global scenario trajectories show about the magnitude and duration of warming-level exceedance within their published time horizons?

    GlobalTarget 2021-2100 / scenario trajectories
  19. CLIM-19

    Which German sectors account for the emissions change?

    How are changes in Germany's reported greenhouse gas emissions distributed across sectors, gases and alternative reference years?

    GermanyTarget 1990-2024 / sector inventories
  20. CLIM-20

    Does clean-energy finance reach the same regions as new capacity?

    How does the regional distribution of tracked renewable-energy finance compare with the distribution of wind and solar capacity additions?

    Reporting regionsTarget 2010-2025 capacity / 2019-2023 finance
  21. CLIM-21

    How much do headline carbon prices reveal about emissions coverage?

    How do published carbon prices, covered emissions shares and sector coverage differ across national and regional pricing instruments?

    Across countriesTarget 2026 policy snapshot / 2024-2025 coverage
  22. CLIM-22

    How large are carbon-pricing revenues beside tracked climate investment?

    What is the scale of reported carbon-pricing revenue relative to tracked climate-finance flows over genuinely comparable periods?

    GlobalTarget 2019-2024 / revenue and investment
  23. CLIM-23

    Does cleaner electricity coincide with lower air-pollution health burdens?

    How do changes in fossil electricity generation compare with published air-pollution mortality estimates across a fixed country panel?

    Across countriesTarget 2010-2024 / power and health
  24. CLIM-24

    Does adaptation finance reach the most vulnerable regions?

    How does the regional distribution of tracked adaptation finance compare with the distribution of country vulnerability within those regions?

    Reporting regionsTarget 2019-2023 / adaptation allocations
  25. CLIM-25

    What does the grant-and-debt mix reveal about adaptation finance?

    How do the financial instruments used for tracked adaptation finance vary across reporting regions and their readiness profiles?

    Reporting regionsTarget 2019-2023 / grants and loans

The scientific frame

Three different kinds of question.

Observed world exposed world choices ahead

An observation is not a projection. Exposure is not vulnerability, and an emissions inventory is not a measure of historical responsibility. The programme preserves those distinctions before comparing the numbers.

Sources, methods, and the evidence boundary

The map does not predict a single future. It shows where evidence is strongest, where risks concentrate, and where choices still matter.